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BOOKMAKER POLITICS HOW TO

The site is also offering odds of 11/8 for no majority. The bookmaker gives the odds of a Republican majority in the Senate as just 5/4, meaning it's very likely, while a Democratic majority is offered at 11/4. When it comes to individual betting companies, such as Paddy Power, the picture becomes even sharper. The site puts the Republicans' odds at 3/14 and the Democrats at 19/5. Could an October Surprise Change the Course of Midterms?Īnd the site noted the odds can change as the race progresses.īut the pollster's prediction is at odds with those made by bookmakers.Ĭomparison website Oddschecker, which has compiled odds based on a composite of all those being offered by a string of betting sites, suggests that the Republicans will perform better.

BOOKMAKER POLITICS HOW TO

Democrats, Republicans battle over how to win the parent vote.

Key Midterm States See Faster Economic Decline Than Average.

But as editor-in-chief Nate Silver writes, Republicans still have plenty of potential opportunities for pick-ups." This is in part because, in a few key races, Republicans have selected weak candidates, hurting their chances of taking the chamber in November. (Conversely, the figures were exactly opposite when it came to the simulation for the House, with Republicans "slightly favored" to win with 68 times out of 100 for the lower chamber, while the Democrats were on 32 wins in 100.)ĭiscussing the Senate predictions, the site stated: "Democrats currently have the lead in the race for the Senate. In this case, Democrats won 68 times out of every 100, while the Republicans won 32 in 100.

The figures are then represented as a sample of 100 outcomes. The modelling is created by simulated the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the Senate most often.

Tim Sloan/AFP via Getty ImagesĪ graphic accompanying the text was titled: "Democrats are slightly favored to win the Senate." An American flag flies over the Senate members' balcony on the North facade of the Capitol, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC.